2013年6月21日星期五

Inverter prices bottoming out


Distributed PV poised 2013 installed domestic demand will increase significantly. EU's "dual" in the context of domestic support for distributed PV more resolute, subsidies ready. Project has been prepared and distributed all over, once the policy floodgates will usher in the outbreak, a conservative estimate of 2013 domestic new capacity up to 8GW (including power plants and distributed each half), optimistic estimates of up to 10GW. According to estimates, in 2013 the corresponding inverter industry in the domestic market capacity of about 4.3 billion yuan in 2015 to about 5.9 billion yuan,2011-2015 market compound growth rate of over 35%.

2013 Inverter prices bottoming out: Price impending costs, improve the stability of supply and demand pattern of price movements. 2011-2012 industry competition, rapid price decline grid tie inverter  to the end of 2012 the domestic power grid inverter average price reached 0.5 yuan / W (tax included) historical lows.

The rate of decline below cost price fluctuations, raw material supply of IGBT and other electronic components prices firm, so that in 2012 the unit cost of the inverter compressed to a lesser extent, according to estimates, the domestic mainstream average cost of inverter products range at 0.30-0.36 yuan / W. Enter 2013, is expected to launch a distributed high-growth reinvigorate the domestic market, the domestic inverter will improve the overall supply and demand situation, the price war eased, expected in the second half inverter prices will rise slightly.

Evolution of global competition: market concentration decreased, SMA dominance shaken, the U.S. market is expected to nurture a new home inverter leader. Inverter products with strong regional characteristics,2005-2010 Germany occupied the global PV industry Banbiheshan, SMA inverters opportunity to become a global hegemon, the global market share of 30-40%.

Since 2011 the German market slowdown, the United States, Japan and other emerging markets, the PV market has gradually become the protagonist, SMA market share fell to 23% in 2012. With China, the U.S. PV market rise, the sun power and Power-One is expected to become the leading two local inverter.

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