Distributed PV poised 2013 installed
domestic demand will increase significantly. EU's "dual" in the
context of domestic support for distributed PV more resolute, subsidies ready.
Project has been prepared and distributed all over, once the policy floodgates
will usher in the outbreak, a conservative estimate of 2013 domestic new
capacity up to 8GW (including power plants and distributed each half),
optimistic estimates of up to 10GW. According to estimates, in 2013 the corresponding
inverter industry in the domestic market capacity of about 4.3 billion yuan in
2015 to about 5.9 billion yuan,2011-2015 market compound growth rate of over
35%.
2013 Inverter prices bottoming out: Price
impending costs, improve the stability of supply and demand pattern of price
movements. 2011-2012 industry competition, rapid price decline grid tie inverter to the
end of 2012 the domestic power grid inverter average price reached 0.5 yuan / W
(tax included) historical lows.
The rate of decline below cost price
fluctuations, raw material supply of IGBT and other electronic components
prices firm, so that in 2012 the unit cost of the inverter compressed to a
lesser extent, according to estimates, the domestic mainstream average cost of
inverter products range at 0.30-0.36 yuan / W. Enter 2013, is expected to
launch a distributed high-growth reinvigorate the domestic market, the domestic
inverter will improve the overall supply and demand situation, the price war
eased, expected in the second half inverter prices will rise slightly.
Evolution of global competition: market
concentration decreased, SMA dominance shaken, the U.S. market is expected to nurture
a new home inverter leader. Inverter products with strong regional
characteristics,2005-2010 Germany occupied the global PV industry Banbiheshan,
SMA inverters opportunity to become a global hegemon, the global market share
of 30-40%.
Since 2011 the German market slowdown, the United States , Japan and other emerging markets,
the PV market has gradually become the protagonist, SMA market share fell to
23% in 2012. With China ,
the U.S. PV market rise, the sun power and Power-One is expected to become the
leading two local inverter.
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